AAXIOM DVMDIRECTIONAL VELOCITY LABFREE RESEARCH TOOL
NEW METHODOLOGY / CONTRACT-LEVEL ANALYSIS

Find direction.
Measure velocity.

DVM estimates how Delta, Gamma, Vega and Theta combine into premium movement. It identifies the market regime first—then shows exactly what drives the result.

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CONFIDENCE —REGIME —
SPOT—
DIRECTION SCORE—−1 to +1
EXPECTED 1D MOVE—IV-derived
IV / RV20—BALANCED
MODEL PCR—simulated OI
MAX PAIN*—model placeholder
01 / PREMIUM VELOCITY DECOMPOSITION₹ / DAY ESTIMATE
v = ΔvS + ½Γ(σdS)²ξ + Vega·vIV + Theta·a
02 / ACTIVE HYPOTHESESH1—H5
φ — · — · λ — · ξ —
03 / VELOCITY SCANMODELLED ATM ± 4
CONTRACTDIR₹/DAY₹/HRCONF.REGIME
04 / EVIDENCE & FALSIFICATIONHONEST READ

Useful hypothesis.
Not yet a proven edge.

On one NIFTY expiry (489 observations), DVM decided-contract accuracy was 56.8%, versus 57.5% for a theta-only Black–Scholes baseline. The high-confidence subset reached 65.1% on n=175, but that sample is too small for production claims.

  • Velocity magnitude is an order-of-magnitude estimate, not a price forecast.
  • Fibonacci showed index signal, but not stock edge in the supplied test.
  • Falsify if high-confidence results converge to the BS baseline over 1,000+ option-days.
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